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Frame: A Recommendation Lives in the Future

The phase that has to reach forward

Strategy is not the plan you hand in

Three ways the gap gets filled badly

Model: Plausible Futures, Not Predictions

The third phase and the job it does

Intent, judgment, and wisdom

What the phase has to produce

Practice: Building Futures a Decision Can Use

Procedure one: from a theory to a set of futures

Procedure two: from futures to moves and signposts

Worked Example: a students' union textbook shop

Practice: two drills

Judgment: What the Future Will Not Tell You

Four ways a set of futures goes wrong

Check: three futures, one choice

Where envisioning runs out

Check: precision without a basis

What to carry into the next mini-course

Check: optimism is not a condition

Check: agreement is not a test

Check: a trigger nobody reads

This module covers envisioning, the third and last phase of the practice, which takes a working value-creation theory and reaches forward with it to produce a small set of plausible futures, the moves those futures call for, a recommendation that carries its own conditions, and the signposts that close the loop back to observation.

The third and last phase of the practice. Envisioning takes the working value-creation theory built in the two mini-courses before this one and reaches forward with it, producing a small set of plausible futures, the moves those futures call for, a recommendation that carries its own conditions, and the signposts that close the loop back to observation.

More Than One Future

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