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Start here

The decision you are learning to make

The trap, and the reframe

Two bad exits, and the way through

The triad as a defence script

Consilience, consequence, candour

Passing the GP-defence test

Reasoning and falsifiability, not strong evidence

Apply it: defend the decision

Defend a decision made under uncertainty (do it)

Check yourself

Knowledge check: the two axes

Knowledge check: consilience

Knowledge check: consequence

Knowledge check: candour

What you can now do, and where it goes

What you can now do

Take it with you

Your defence card

References

Segment 7.2 of Module 7: deliver Candour at full range and pass the GP-defence test, defending an M/H decision by separating evidence-strength from the decision to act, with a falsifiable forecast.

Deliver Candour at full range and pass the GP-defence test, with a falsifiable forecast as the proof you are reasoning, not believing.

Module 8 - Holding Your Ground, Over Time (Segment 8.2: Defending a Decision Made Under Uncertainty)

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