 <h1>Congratulations! 🎉 </h1>
    <p style="color:#637381;">All done! You’ve completed another milestone.</p>

To continue, enter your details to log in.

We’ve sent a 6‑digit code to #MAIL_ADDRESS#\nPlease check your inbox or spam folder and enter the code below to continue.

Verification code sent

Thank you for the payment. You can now access {collectionName} by simply clicking the button below.

Yes, you’ve successfully ordered! 🎉

Unlock This Exclusive Course

It seems that your email address is not currently on the authorized access list. Please ensure you are using the email address that was invited, or contact the content owner for assistance.

Verification Required for Access

Start here

The decision you're learning to make

Calibrated confidence

A band, not 'I'm sure'

The disconfirmer

What would change your mind

The reproducibility test, and the considered judgement

Would a colleague reach the same reading?

Check yourself

Knowledge check: stating confidence

Knowledge check: the disconfirmer

Knowledge check: the real test

Knowledge check: thin cues

What you can now do, and where it goes

What you can now do

Take it with you

Your confidence card

References

Segment 3.3 of Module 3, confidence and the disconfirmer: attach a calibrated confidence band to a localisation, name the finding that would overturn it, apply the reproducibility test and the considered judgement. Built direct.

Module 4 - Locating the Problem (Segment 4.3: Confidence, and What Would Change It)

<div class="simple-box-wrapper"> <div class="simple-box"> <div class="column"> <h3>Description</h3> <div class="ck-horizontal-line"><hr></div> <p>I'm a paragraph. Click to start writing that will inform, inspire, or encourage your community. We know you have so many things to share with the world. Happy editing!</p> </div> </div> </div>