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Foundations

Why Smart People Make Predictable Mistakes

The Anchoring Effect and How Numbers Hijack Estimates

The Availability Heuristic: Vivid Beats True

Representativeness and the Base-Rate Fallacy

The Conjunction Fallacy — The Linda Problem, Reframed

Checkpoint: Heuristics and Biases

Practice & Application

Heuristic, Failure Mode, and Fix — At a Glance

Flashcards: Spot the Bias

Heuristics in Three Real Business Calls, Side by Side

Names the specific mental shortcuts — anchoring, availability, representativeness, and the conjunction fallacy — behind common judgment errors, and gives learners the exact question that counters each one.

Anchoring, availability, representativeness — three mental shortcuts that let you judge
quickly, and that quietly distort estimates, hiring decisions, and risk assessments in
specific, predictable directions. This module names each one and gives you the correction.

Heuristics and Biases — The Shortcuts That Shape Judgment

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