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From GATT to the WTO Impasse

Chapter Introductory Video

Lecture Video 1

I. From GATT to the WTO

II. Dispute Settlement and Negative Consensus

III. The Impasse and the Case Behind It

IV. Appeals Into the Void

V. The MPIA Bridge

VI. What the MPIA Changed

VII. A Fragmented Landscape

Section Summary

Regionalism and the "Spaghetti Bowl"

Lecture Video 2

I. Why Regionalism Grew

II. The Legal Basis for Derogation

III. The Scale of the Bowl

IV. Why Mega-Deals Did Not Simplify

V. The Utilization Decision

VI. Verification and Deflection Risk

VII. From Bowl to Decision

Economic Nationality and Rules of Origin

Lecture video 3

I. Economic Nationality and Two Families of Rules

II. Why Free Trade Agreements Need Origin Rules at All

III. The Four Paths to Qualification

IV. Substantial Transformation: Two Measures and a Tolerance

V. The USMCA Automotive Regime

VI. Verification and the Cost of Failure

VII. Rules Subject to Renegotiation

Investment Screening and Economic Security

Lecture video 4

I. From Coordination to Mandatory Screening

II. The Screening Floor and Hyper-Critical Sectors

III. Xella: The Economic Nationality of an Investor

IV. The United States: Policy Posture, CFIUS, and the Fast-Track Route

V. The Industrial Accelerator Act and the 40% Rule

VI. Non-Notified Transactions and Retroactive Review

VII. From Regime to Transaction Planning

The Geopolitical Toolkit

Lecture video 5

I. Sanctions Architecture and the 50 Percent Rule

II. China's Export Control Framework

III. Two Forms of Extraterritorial Reach

IV. Critical Minerals as Leverage

V. Exit Risk: The Counter-Sanctions Regime

VI. Calibration and the Pause

VII. From Toolkit to Compliance Strategy

The Empirical Price of De-Risking

Lecture video 6

I. Two Strategies, Two Costs

II. Who Bears the Cost

III. Quality Downgrading and Its Asymmetries

IV. Complexity as the Constraint on Speed

V. Connecting Countries: Unbundling Rather Than Disappearing

VI. The Cost of Resilience and the 30% Threshold

VII. From Evidence to Decision

Technology Sovereignty and Bloc Formation

Lecture video 7

I. From Regulation to Industrial Policy

II. The Digital Stack

III. Outbound Capital Controls: The COINS Act

IV. CADA and European Effective Control

V. The Price of Sovereignty

VI. What This Means for Architecture

VII. From Bloc Formation to Decision

Managerial Decision

Lecture Video 8

I. Compliance as a Sequence of Veto Gates

II. Gate 1: Transaction Eligibility

III. Gate 2: Movement of Goods and Technology

IV. Gate 3: Counterparty

V. Where the Gates Conflict

VI. Commercial Optimization Inside the Constraint

VII. Compliance by Design

Knowledge Check

Knowledge Check:  From GATT to the WTO Impasse

Knowledge Check:  WTO Dispute Settlement and MPIA

Knowledge Check:  Regionalism and the Spaghetti Bowl

Knowledge Check:  Mega-Deals and Utilization

Knowledge Check:  Economic Nationality and Rules of Origin

Knowledge Check:  Substantial Transformation and USMCA

Knowledge Check:  Investment Screening and Economic Security

Knowledge Check:  CFIUS and the 40% Rule

Knowledge Check:  The Geopolitical Toolkit

Knowledge Check:  Sanctions and Export Controls

Knowledge Check:  The Empirical Price of De-Risking

Knowledge Check:  Quality Downgrading and Resilience

Knowledge Check:  Technology Sovereignty and Bloc Formation

Knowledge Check:  Outbound Capital Controls and CADA

Knowledge Check:  Managerial Decision and Veto Gates

Knowledge Check:  Compliance by Design

In today's hyper-connected yet increasingly fragmented global economy, navigating international trade requires more than just basic business acumen. "Global Trade Institutions, Regional Integration, and Geopolitics" is a comprehensive online course designed to equip professionals with the strategic insights needed to thrive amidst shifting global paradigms.

In today's hyper-connected yet increasingly fragmented global economy, navigating international trade requires more than just basic business acumen. "Global Trade Institutions, Regional Integration, and Geopolitics" is a comprehensive online course designed to equip professionals with the strategic insights needed to thrive amidst shifting global paradigms. From the historical transition of GATT to the current WTO impasse, this course delves deep into the complexities of modern trade architecture. You will explore the "Spaghetti Bowl" of regionalism, understand the critical nuances of economic nationality and rules of origin, and master the intricacies of investment screening and economic security. As geopolitical tensions rise, understanding the geopolitical toolkit—including sanctions, export controls, and critical mineral leverage—is no longer optional; it is essential for corporate survival. We will also examine the empirical price of de-risking, technology sovereignty, and the formation of new economic blocs that are reshaping global supply chains. Finally, the course culminates in practical managerial decision-making frameworks, teaching you how to navigate compliance veto gates and optimize commercial strategies by design. Whether you are a supply chain executive, a compliance officer, or a strategic business leader, this course provides the actionable knowledge you need to defend your international business decisions, mitigate geopolitical risks, and build resilient, future-proof operations in a rapidly changing world.

Chapter 5

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            <p>The landscape of international business has fundamentally transformed from the unified vision of the GATT and early WTO era into a highly complex, fragmented system. As global consensus stalls and the WTO faces unprecedented impasses, regionalism has surged, creating a tangled "spaghetti bowl" of overlapping trade agreements. Navigating this modern economic environment requires a deep understanding of economic nationality and the intricate rules of origin that dictate how goods and services qualify for preferential treatment. Organizations can no longer rely on a single set of global rules; instead, they must adapt to a decentralized network of regional pacts, mega-deals, and shifting alliances that continuously redefine the borders of global commerce.</p>

<p>Beyond traditional tariffs and trade pacts, modern commerce is increasingly dictated by national security imperatives and a robust geopolitical toolkit. Governments worldwide are actively deploying mandatory investment screening mechanisms, stringent export controls, and complex sanctions to protect critical minerals, secure supply chains, and defend their digital infrastructure. This aggressive push toward technology sovereignty and economic security is driving the formation of distinct geopolitical blocs. Consequently, businesses are forced to confront the empirical price of de-risking, balancing the high costs of supply chain unbundling, quality downgrading, and the pursuit of resilience against the realities of global competition.</p>

<p>For corporate leaders, legal professionals, and strategic planners, surviving this fragmented landscape demands a fundamental shift in managerial decision-making. Geopolitical compliance can no longer be an afterthought; it must be treated as a rigorous sequence of veto gates that evaluate transaction eligibility, the movement of sensitive technology, and counterparty risks. By mastering these intersecting frameworks—from the USMCA automotive regime and CFIUS regulations to outbound capital controls—professionals can move beyond reactive measures. This comprehensive understanding enables organizations to implement compliance by design, optimizing their commercial strategies and safeguarding their investments within the constraints of a divided global economy.</p>
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