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Creating Strategic Visions by Charles W. Taylor

<h1 style="text-align: justify;">A Brainstorming Technique</h1><p style="text-align: justify;">The Futures Cone – also called the cone of plausibility – is a visual diagram that portrays alternative futures beyond the present point in time. It is a useful tool to expand our thinking about the future.&nbsp;</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Since Charles W. Taylor’s initial development of "The Cone of Plausibility" in <em>Creating Strategic Visions</em> (1990), many modern alternatives have been developed by futurists such as <a target="_blank" href="https://www.downloadmaghaleh.com/wp-content/uploads/edd/maghaleh/1398/13260.pdf" alt="Joseph Voros (2001)">Joseph Voros (2001)</a>, <a target="_blank" href="https://www.researchgate.net/publication/13166132_Possible_futures_preferable_futures" alt="Trevor Hancock and Clement Bezold (1994)">Trevor Hancock and Clement Bezold (1994)</a>. The version referred to in this module is the framework&nbsp;popularized by Voros in&nbsp;<em>Creating Strategic Visions</em> (2001).</p><p style="text-align: justify;">The Futures Cone is essentially a brainstorming exercise that helps identify and anticipate future trends.&nbsp;<span style="font-size: 14px;">It does this by visualizing a range of possible futures.&nbsp;</span></p><p style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">These futures could include 'business as usual' scenarios or projected futures and futures that are probable, plausible, possible, or preposterous.&nbsp;The tool demonstrates that there are always many alternative futures available beyond the future commonly assumed today.</span></p>